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Picks and Predictions: Week 7

24 August 2016 K2_ITEM_AUTHOR  4th Down Staff

 

Welcome to Week 7 of the high school football season in the Mid-Penn Conference and Tri-Valley League. Our gang studied the schedule and plotted their picks and predictions for each match-up on the docket. View their picks below and let us know what you think on Facebook or Twitter.

Standings through Week 6: 

Andy Shay: Week 6: 16-3, Overall: 131-30

Geoff Morrow: Week 6: 13-6, Overall: 129-32

Andy Sandrik: Week 6: 15-4, Overall: 129-32

Jake Adams: Week 6: 15-4, Overall: 125-36

Friday, October 13

 Bishop McDevitt at Mechanicsburg


Andy Shay: Bishop McDevitt 49, Mechanicsburg 14: Crusaders are coming off a bye week, so McDevitt will be at full strength. The schedule and injuries, it appears, are catching up to the Wildcats after that promising start. And this is not a favorable match-up.

Jake Adams: Bishop McDevitt 55, Mechanicsburg 20: Injuries and availability have scuttled a promising start to Billy Furman’s squad. Even at full strength the Crusaders are too much.

Andy Sandrik: Bishop McDevitt 34, Mechanicsburg 7: I'm expecting the Crusaders, fresh off a week of rest, to turn in an impressive performance.

Geoff Morrow: Bishop McDevitt 54, Mechanicsburg 14: The feel-good part of the Wildcats' story is on hiatus thanks to a combination of top-notch competition and their own roster issues. Plus the Crusaders are well-rested and starting to heat up.

Five games to watch in the Mid-Penn Conference in Week 7

Tri-Valley Game of the Week: Newport at Line Mountain

 4th Down Magazine Player of the Week: Mason Frampton

Episode 7: High School Football Now with Eric Epler and Andy Shay

Tri-Valley: Six pack of stories to watch in Week 7

Top 10 District 3 Teams: Week No. 7

 

CD East at State College


Andy Shay: State College 35, CD East 28: There's one team every year I pick to lose more games than it does. And, at 5-1, that team in 2017 is the Panthers. So I'm sticking to my guns and suggesting the Little Lions' wakeup call last week against Cumberland Valley is serving them well.

Jake Adams: State College 34, CD East 28: Is there an emotional letdown after last week’s win over rival Central Dauphin? Panthers hope not, but I think the Little Lions make it happen.

Andy Sandrik: State College 30, CD East 17: So let me get this right... CD East > CD > CV > State College, right? Throw all of that out the window, because the Little Lions don't lose at home.

Geoff Morrow: State College 34, CD East 24: So East needs a desperate rally to escape Chambersburg, then follows up by cracking favored rival CD. Tough to get a read on the Panthers beyond the obvious: Kane Everson is really good, and Aaron Blanding can really coach. Still like State High at home, though.

 

First glance: District 3 6A Power Rankings after Week 6

First glance: District 3 5A Power Rankings After Week 6

First glance: District 3 4A Power Rankings After Week 6

First glance: District 3 3A Power Rankings after Week 6

First glance: District 3 2A & 1A Power Rankings after Week 6

 

Chambersburg at Cedar Cliff

Andy Shay: Cedar Cliff 42, Chambersburg 13: Seems like whatever was ailing the Colts during that three-game slide has been rectified. Sometimes it takes a little reality check to get all the pieces of the puzzle in the right places. And the Trojans are struggling to stop anybody.

Jake Adams: Cedar Cliff 41, Chambersburg 14: Chris Dare has started to establish himself at QB for the Colts. Need a non-conference win against a 6A school at this juncture.

Andy Sandrik: Cedar Cliff 38, Chambersburg 17: After getting Harrisburg'd last week, Chambersburg's game with Cedar Cliff will seem like a vacation. Not to say this game doesn't have the potential to get ugly.

Geoff Morrow: Cedar Cliff 33, Chambersburg 10: Colts are rounding into shape, finding their identity. Though it won't be enough to get them into the Class 5A playoffs, the resurgence will continue vs. struggling Trojans.

 

Cumberland Valley at Carlisle


Andy Shay: Cumberland Valley 49, Carlisle 7: It's hard to surprise the Eagles anyway, but the Herd moving Gavyn Barnes to QB won't rattle CV. Eagles have too much firepower for the Herd defense.

Jake Adams: Cumberland Valley 42, Carlisle 21: If Gavyn Barnes stays at QB, the Herd can make this more competitive than it’ll look on paper. But the Eagles are just too much.

Andy Sandrik: Cumberland Valley 44, Carlisle 7: This might be news to some of you, but Carlisle is still fighting for a spot in the district playoffs. Top team in the district, CV, will bump the Herd down a notch.

Geoff Morrow: Cumberland Valley 38, Carlisle 18: Tough to call it a rivalry when one side (CV) has so thoroughly dominated. Eagles have won 12 straight in the series, all by at least two touchdowns.

 

East Juniata at Pine Grove


Andy Shay: East Juniata 30, Pine Grove 14: You have to give the Tigers credit. When they square off against an opponent at the same level, they are pretty successful. PG is winless, and EJ continues to show it has plenty of hunger for wins that are on the table.

Jake Adams: East Juniata 28, Pine Grove 13: EJ gets to “beat up” on another winless league rival after thumping Millersburg last week by 25.

Andy Sandrik: Pine Grove 28, East Juniata 24: Pine Grove has been knocking on the door for a few weeks. Something tells me a win is in the "Cards" for PG.

Geoff Morrow: East Juniata 30, Pine Grove 14: Hey, that EJ defense racked up seven sacks last week vs. Millersburg. Tigers should get back to .500 and extend win streak to three vs. Cardinals.

 

Greencastle-Antrim at Shippensburg


Andy Shay: Shippensburg 21, Greencastle-Antrim 13: For all the bling in recent weeks inside the Colonial Division surrounding teams not named Shippensburg, the Greyhounds still have a say in defense of their title. If opportunity knocks, the Blue Devils will take it. So finishing is key.

Jake Adams: Shippensburg 27, Greencastle-Antrim 21: One too many turnovers, or some stalled first-half drives, and the Greyhounds could find themselves on the flip side of this prediction. Dang, the Colonial is weird this year.

Andy Sandrik: Shippensburg 28, Greencastle-Antrim 14: The Greyhounds still aren't out of the chase for the Colonial Division. A decisive win here is important for Ship.

Geoff Morrow: Shippensburg 33, Greencastle-Antrim 19: Feels like this is one of those matchups where we expect a hotly contested battle. But research shows Greyhounds have won six straight in the series, the last five by double digits. So we declare a continuance.

 

Halifax at Juniata


Andy Shay: Juniata 33, Halifax 0: When it comes to TVL games, Juniata's defense has been downright mean and nasty. Getting points on these guys is very, very difficult. That group will own this one.

Jake Adams: Juniata 27, Halifax 7: The Indians' defense has been very good since Week 2, allowing just 62 points (38 to Huntingdon). Last week held high-flying Newport to just 14.

Andy Sandrik: Juniata 28, Halifax 14: Yes, a loss is a loss, but Juniata's close game with Newport last week showed us it is a team that demands respect in the TVL.

Geoff Morrow: Juniata 39, Halifax 7: Indians LB Bryson Clark has double-digit tackles in three straight games. Not sure he'll be on defense long enough to get there again as Juniata snaps its two-game skid.

 

James Buchanan at West Perry


Andy Shay: West Perry 40, James Buchanan 6: Mustangs have to be stinging after getting rolled by Colonial Division leader Waynesboro. A dose of the Rockets is the right medicine.

Jake Adams: West Perry 42, James Buchanan 10: The Mustangs snapped a 26-game skid against the Rockets last year, in case you hadn’t heard. They’re better this year.

Andy Sandrik: West Perry 30, James Buchanan 7: JB secured a victory and scored a whole lot of points over the past two weeks, but I don't think the Rockets are equipped to put West Perry on the ropes.

Geoff Morrow: West Perry 56, James Buchanan 14: Mustangs snapped their 26-game skid against the Rockets last year, scoring at will down in Mercersburg. There won't be that same saucer-eyed intensity this time around, but WP will roll.

 

Lower Dauphin at Susquehanna Twp.


Andy Shay: Lower Dauphin 35, Susquehanna Twp. 21: Seems like both offenses are cooking right now. Falcons have put up 35 or more the last month, while the Indians' passing game is stretching defenses thin. Falcons' secondary could be the difference maker.

Jake Adams: Lower Dauphin 35, Susquehanna Twp. 23: Four straight weeks scoring at least 35 for the Falcons, and they’re 3-1 during that stretch (with an OT loss to Cedar Crest). Hot at the right time.

Andy Sandrik: Lower Dauphin 33, Susquehanna Twp. 14: Every time I look at LD, the Falcons are a better team than the last time I saw them. Look for the Falcons to improve to a winning record this week.

Geoff Morrow: Lower Dauphin 36, Susquehanna Twp. 25: Some good battles when these Keystone clubbers get in the ring, but Greg Kratzer's Falcons are in a better groove right now and are still unbeaten in the division.

 

Mifflin County at Northern


Andy Shay: Northern 31, Mifflin County 20: Huskies have put up a little more fight in recent weeks, but the Polar Bears have been playing some good football, and the fruit of that labor gets rewarded here.

Jake Adams: Northern 34, Mifflin County 17: The Polar Bears have looked much better of late, even if the record doesn’t show it. Confidence booster here as the focus shifts to building for the future.

Andy Sandrik: Northern 32, Mifflin County 28: Coin flip game in my eyes. Giving the edge to Northern at home.

Geoff Morrow: Northern 22, Mifflin County 7: Polar Bears blanked Huskies last year, with then juniors Antonio Lodovici, Wyatt Lewis and Zarrick Jordan sharing five of the team's seven sacks.

 

Millersburg at Williams Valley


Andy Shay: Williams Valley 55, Millersburg 0: First place vs. the squad bringing up the rear. Vikings can name their number and be kind the struggling Tribe and get the job done.

Jake Adams: Williams Valley 49, Millersburg 7: Panic time! Dylan Rabuck has gone two weeks without cracking 200 yards! Um, yeah, that’s premature. He adds at least 200 to his 1,531 total in this one.

Andy Sandrik: Williams Valley 50, Millersburg 0: It doesn't take an expert to correctly pick this one. Hopefully WV does the right thing by not turning this game into a national headline.

Geoff Morrow: Williams Valley 54, Millersburg 0: The movie "It" is still in theaters. Heard it's pretty good. Also heard Jake Adams was scared throughout when watching with his girlfriend.

 

Milton Hershey at Boiling Springs


Andy Shay: Milton Hershey 28, Boiling Springs 7: Spartans have been riding a roller coaster all season, winning and losing close games. Feels like a comfortable victory is du. Bubblers are trying to get to a fourth quarter again to have a chance at ending that "streak."

Jake Adams: Milton Hershey 28, Boiling Springs 20: The Spartans beat Camp Hill, then fought valiantly against East Pennsboro, holding the Panthers to 21 points. Bubblers' last good chance of the season to get a win.

Andy Sandrik: Milton Hershey 35, Boiling Springs 10: Spartans haven't won a game by blowout all season. This might be their best chance to run wild.

Geoff Morrow: Milton Hershey 30, Boiling Springs 14: Spartans remain a work in progress, but QB Naeem Cross looks pretty good doing his best Keonte Lucas impersonation.

 

Nativity BVM at Upper Dauphin


Andy Shay: Nativity BVM 30, Upper Dauphin 21: Trojans have taken the last couple meetings with these guys, but Nativity has more pop this year but still needs to play well to secure a victory from the TVL squad.

Jake Adams: Nativity BVM 27, Upper Dauphin 10: The last two years Nativity (4-3) won just two games and lost a close one to UD. But there was a decisive 31-6 victory over the Trojans in 2010! Let's go back in time.

Andy Sandrik: Upper Dauphin 28, Nativity BVM 21: Taking a blind stab at this one, but I get the sense UD's experience against a difficult TVL schedule will have the Trojans ready for this ballgame.

Geoff Morrow: Upper Dauphin 16, Nativity BVM 11: Two meetings ago (2011) Trojans won 14-13. Last year it was 15-12. I'm JUST smart enough to spot a developing pattern.

 

Newport at Line Mountain


Andy Shay: Newport 27, Line Mountain 20: This one is a real opportunity for the Eagles to make some noise, and they are capable. But it seems very difficult to knock the Buffaloes off that perch atop the TVL this season ... again. Buffaloes believe, and it shows.

Jake Adams: Newport 28, Line Mountain 14: Two of the best QBs (Buffaloes’ Nikolas Grabiec, Eagles’ Evan Herb) in the Tri-Valley square off. Grabiec’s defense gives him the edge in this one.

Andy Sandrik: Newport 21, Line Mountain 7: This is a dangerous, dangerous game for Newport, but I'm giving this game to the Buffs based on their defense.

Geoff Morrow: Newport 22, Line Mountain 8: Kept thinking Buffaloes might run into trouble one of these games, but the boys seem unshakable. Eagles could provide a nice test, but the unbeaten stampede should continue.

 

Palmyra at Steel-High


Andy Shay: Steel-High 14, Palmyra 13: These two defenses are legit, and something tells me the offenses will not have as much say in this outcome as they think. This is a coin-flip for me. Going with the home team and taking the easy-out excuse.

Jake Adams: Palmyra 24, Steel-High 13: The Cougars’ defense is legit after holding Middletown to 17. If they can sustain that for another week, the Rollers will lose their first division game of the season.

Andy Sandrik: Steel-High 28, Palmyra 21: How many times do I have to pick against the Rollers before I learn my lesson? Steel-High is a good team, and I think it prevails in yet another game where it's picked as the underdog.

Geoff Morrow: Steel-High 26, Palmyra 21: Man, I love this Mid-Penn Capital Division. Rollers have adopted that us-against-the-world mentality, too, which has carried various Steel-High athletic programs to myriad successes over the years. This group, it seems, is building its own legacy.

 

Red Land at Hershey


Andy Shay: Hershey 26, Red Land 24: With good reason, each team should consider this a winnable game. Patriots are starving for a victory. Trojans did not play poorly last week and displayed a little more bang on offense.

Jake Adams: Hershey 21, Red Land 17: If this was at home, I’d give the Patriots the slight edge. Still could get the season’s first win here, coming off a much-needed bye week.

Andy Sandrik: Hershey 18, Red Land 12: Coin flip game goes to Hershey, the team that has tasted victory and is sporting home-field advantage.

Geoff Morrow: Red Land 27, Hershey 20: Trojans have yielded 148 points to some high-quality competition over the last three weeks, while Patriots are coming off a perfectly timed bye week. Thinking Chad Weaver directs his boys to their first win.

 

Trinity at East Pennsboro


Andy Shay: Trinity 35, East Pennsboro 27: I'm giving Panthers RB Onasis Neely his yards and touchdowns. The guy just produces. The Shamrocks are more diverse and are a much more physical team than you think. That's the difference here to me.

Jake Adams: East Pennsboro 48, Trinity 42: If Big Spring-East Pennsboro went for more than 900 yards, I wonder if this one can crack 1,000. I give the Shamrocks a 45 percent chance to win, a.k.a. coin flip.

Andy Sandrik: Trinity 42, East Pennsboro 35: Time for fireworks! We know Panthers RB Onasis Neely and Shamrocks QB Tommy Kirchhoff will both get their yards, but an uptick in production from either East Penn QB Payton Morris or Trinity RB Tre Moody could turn the tides in this one.

Geoff Morrow: East Pennsboro 26, Trinity 24: This has the potential to be the area's best game of the weekend. Former Panthers lineman Tanner Garlinger transferred to Trinity in the offseason, which only adds intrigue. Some outstanding athletes on both sides, and some highly motivated earth movers in the trenches.

 

Tri-Valley at Susquenita

Andy Shay: Tri-Valley 34, Susquenita 14: That Bulldogs defense is legit, and the Blackhawks have struggled to score more than two touchdowns most weeks. Tough match-up with TV holding most of the cards.

Jake Adams: Tri-Valley 34, Susquenita 14: 'Nita isn’t much for points, but the Blackhawks have struggled in league play with just 11 points a game. Last year’s battle was a 40-7 TV win.

Andy Sandrik: Tri-Valley 33, Susquenita 21: The Blackhawks have proven themselves to be a competitive team in the TVL. Going to need to take the next step to upend Tri-Valley.

Geoff Morrow: Tri-Valley 34, Susquenita 14: Bulldogs spread it around and have the horses to contain Blackhawks RB Trent McGuire. ... Wait, did three of us just predict the EXACT SAME SCORE?

 

Waynesboro at Big Spring

Andy Shay: Waynesboro 33, Big Spring 20: The first-place Indians have been making waves on both sides of the ball in terms of impact. Bulldogs have been battered and bruised in recent weeks, but when at full power they are dangerous offensively.

Jake Adams: Waynesboro 27, Big Spring 21: Just watch. Picked the Bulldogs for a few weeks to win games they lost, and now I’m going to go against them vs. the Colonial-leading Indians and get burned.

Andy Sandrik: Waynesboro 28, Big Spring 12: You know what would throw the entire Colonial Division for a loop? If Big Spring somehow pulled out a win. I don't see that happening, though.

Geoff Morrow: Waynesboro 31, Big Spring 14: Indians begin a season-ending road trip in Newville. Even as road warriors, the boys in blue possess the right pieces that they can seriously start thinking of finishing unscathed in their Mid-Penn Colonial slate.

 

Saturday, October 14

 

Camp Hill at Middletown


Andy Shay: Middletown 34, Camp Hill 7: Lions have a bit of momentum coming in, but the Blue Raiders demand more than just confidence. Middletown offense ran into a bit of a Cougar wall last week and will be hungry for some touchdowns.

Jake Adams: Middletown 42, Camp Hill 17: Have to wonder if this game would’ve been more competitive if not for all the coaching drama at the start of the season. Blue Raiders gearing up for the playoffs.

Andy Sandrik: Middletown 42, Camp Hill 7: A little David vs. Goliath action for your Saturday afternoon. Goliath rolls to 7-0.

Geoff Morrow: Middletown 40, Camp Hill 20: Blue Raiders have looked almost human the last two weeks, eking out victories over Trinity and Palmyra. Key word there? "Victories." Brett Myers' crew simply continues to pile up wins.

 

Harrisburg at Central Dauphin

Andy Shay: Harrisburg 34: Central Dauphin 7: Rams are reeling a bit and come into this one a little unsettled. Cougars haven't been pushed in weeks, and that might show in a little rust. Maybe. That Harrisburg defense is still a relentless monster.

Jake Adams: Harrisburg 35, Central Dauphin 21: The Cougars have scored 33-plus every week and haven’t dipped under 40 since Week 2.

Andy Sandrik: Harrisburg 45, Central Dauphin 10: I feel sick to my stomach picking CD as a five-touchdown underdog, but I really do think the Cougars are THAT good.

Geoff Morrow: Harrisburg 48, Central Dauphin 20: Remember when Micah Parsons was a Ram? He certainly does.

 

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