Picks and Predictions: Week 11

Congratulations to District 3 champions, Steel-High (1A) and Newport (2A) as well as District 11 1A champion, Williams Valley. Check out the results from our picks and predictions from last week. 

Standings through Week 11: 

Andy Shay: Week 11: 17-3, Overall: 215-45

Geoff Morrow: Week 11: 19-1, Overall: 215-45

Jake Adams: Week 11: 18-2, Overall: 207-53

Andy Sandrik: Week 11: 18-2, Overall: 206-54

 

 

Friday, November 10

Middletown 42, Bermudian Springs 7, District 3 Class 3A semifinal

Andy Shay: Middletown 52, Bermudian Springs 7: Blue Raiders are the defending champions and undefeated. They had a little lull in the middle of the season, but down the stretch they are simply killing cats. They are healthy and hitting on all cylinders. The Eagles won't be able to handle that over 48 minutes.

Jake Adams: Middletown 49, Bermudian Springs 14: Same as Harrisburg’s first rounder — moving on.

Andy Sandrik: Middletown 48, Bermudian Springs 7: Blue Raiders have put a hurting on almost every regular-season opponent. Another thumping awaits in this postseason opener.

Geoff Morrow: Middletown 49, Bermudian Springs 7: Impressed by the Eagles' Week 7 overtime victory over Delone Catholic, but not much else gives me reason to think they'll challenge the defending champs.

 

Cumberland Valley 62, CD East 9, District 3 Class 6A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Cumberland Valley 42, CD East 3: Why mess with a recent result and think anything is going to be different two weeks later? Eagles are coming off loss to Harrisburg, but they did the smart thing and pulled their starters to get to this point with zero damage. Panthers have been outscored 102-13 last two games.

Jake Adams: Cumberland Valley 35, CD East 14: The Eagles were content to rest last week in the hopes of being healthy for the postseason. The Panthers didn’t have that same luxury. CV benefits and begins their march to another Class 6A title.

Andy Sandrik: Cumberland Valley 28, CD East 7: What happened in Week 9? A 42-3 blowout win for CV. Panthers can do better this week, but I'm just not sensing an upset.

Geoff Morrow: Cumberland Valley 38, CD East 10: Was a rout two weeks ago at the Speedway. Panthers haven't shown much in recent weeks, and CV should bounce back from last week's reality check vs. Harrisburg.

 

Cocalico 42, Cedar Crest 7, District 3 Class 5A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Cocalico 49, Cedar Crest 13: About a month ago this was a 49-point game. What changes that much in a month? Eagles' defense is mean, nasty and physical and imposes its will on a game. That's hard to deal with play after play for a Falcons offense built around one player.

Jake Adams: Cocalico 45, Cedar Crest 14: I haven’t looked, but have the Eagles scored more points this season than any team except Harrisburg entering the District 3 playoffs? Already thumped the Falcons 55-6 a month ago.

Andy Sandrik: Cocalico 44, Cedar Crest 14: They say it's tough to beat the same team twice, but Cocalico's 55-6 win in Week 6 is telling me to expect a similar result this time around.

Geoff Morrow: Cocalico 45, Cedar Crest 14: Eagles are averaging darn near 50 points per game, and they eclipsed that in a Week 6 annihilation of the Falcons. I have no reason to think the results won't be similar.

 

Manheim Twp. 28, Central Dauphin 0, District 3 Class 6A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Manheim Twp. 24, Central Dauphin 13: Tough opening-round draw for the No. 2 seed Blue Streaks, but they already have a win over CD this year, and the Rams sputtered the second half of the season. Key for CD springing the upset would be zero field goals and all touchdowns when opportunity knocks.

Jake Adams: Manheim Twp. 35, Central Dauphin 28: Very little has slowed the Blue Streaks' offense. It’s weird for me to not pick the Rams to get out of the first round. Seems like they’re always in a title game.

Andy Sandrik: Manheim Twp. 24, Central Dauphin 21: Don't count out CD, but the Blue Streaks are just a bit more polished, plus they've already proven they can beat the Rams.

Geoff Morrow: Manheim Twp. 21, Central Dauphin 14: Blue Streaks not only beat the Rams in Week 1, but they've rattled off seven straight wins and have QB Luke Emge (18 TD vs. 2 INTs) on their side. Rams will fight, though.

 

Hempfield 31, Dallastown 28, District 3 Class 6A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Hempfield 30, Dallastown 20: When it comes to the Dallastown offense vs. the Hempfield defense, that feels like a draw to me. Each side is going to get some. The Black Knight have a decided advantage when they have the ball, and that is the only major difference between these two squads. It's a toss-up game.

Jake Adams: Hempfield 35, Dallastown 21: RB Stephen Wenzel missed nearly half the season but played last week for Hempfield. On Sept. 1, he ran for 142 yards and a TD on 11 touches against these Wildcats.

Andy Sandrik: Hempfield 28, Dallastown 14: Hempfield was 24 points better than Dallastown in Week 1. I'm convinced the Black Knights win again this week.

Geoff Morrow: Hempfield 27, Dallastown 21: Another rematch, as the Black Knights declawed the Wildcats in Week 1. A lot has changed, including Dallastown hauling a five-game winning streak into the postseason. But Hempfield offense, ft. versatile QB Mark Himmelsbach, gives the edge.

 

East Pennsboro 45, Susquehannock 14, District 3 Class 4A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: East Pennsboro 49, Susquehannock 20: The biggest key for the Panthers this season has been the progress made on the defensive side of the ball. Warriors will have no answer for No. 12 running the ball, so it's up to the EP defense to hold serve a few times. If it's close, Susquehannock has been very good at winning tight ones.

Jake Adams: East Pennsboro 35, Susquehannock 21: I really, really, REALLY wanna see Onasis Neely go up against that BC defense. Really. For now, all I know is these Warriors beat Northern 31-14 in Week 1, and the P-Bears should be in this bracket, too.

Andy Sandrik: East Pennsboro 35, Susquehannock 21: Big congrats to East Penn's Onasis Neely, who has eclipsed 2,000 rushing yards. I think he can get to 3,000, but it's going to take a win this week for him to have a chance.

Geoff Morrow: East Pennsboro 36, Susquehannock 14: Tempted to say the Panthers' vastly improved defense is the difference maker, but we know it's really Onasis Neely running behind a grooving offensive line. East Penn Nation should reach the semis.

 

State College 48, Erie 12, at Clarion University, PIAA Class 6A subregional

Andy Shay: State College 30, Erie 20: After winning its first ever District 10 Class 6A title by a point in a wild game over McDowell, I just wonder how much gas the Royals have left in the tank for a Little Lions squad that can get you coming and going.

Jake Adams: State College 35, Erie 21: The Little Lions and will be challenged by Erie’s junior backs, JaGannon Williams (92-1015, 12 TDs) and Tony Foster (94-1,013, 11 TDs). But this is a defense that has been challenged all year in the Mid-Penn Commonwealth. Think they come through this with a win.

Andy Sandrik: State College 35, Erie 14: The Mid-Penn Commonwealth Division has the Little Lions ready for this moment. I'm predicting a big win for State High.

Geoff Morrow: State College 40, Erie 20: Inspired victory over McDowell for the Royals in last week's District 10 Class 6A championship, but the Mid-Penn Commonwealth entry, fresh off a thorough takedown of Central Dauphin, will prove to be a much tougher foe to tackle. Little Lions roar.

 

Berks Catholic 48, Gettysburg 18, District 3 Class 4A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Berks Catholic 56, Gettysburg 0: Did you know the Saints' first-team defense has not been score upon this season? For all their offensive prowess and efficiency, that is what makes this team brutal to compete with. Warriors will go diving into the deep end of the pool here, and they know it.

Jake Adams: Berks Catholic 42, Gettysburg 7: Almost didn’t believe it when I looked, but the Saints are averaging nearly 10 yards per carry. As a team! Won’t matter. Nobody scores on BC.

Andy Sandrik: Berks Catholic 44, Gettysburg 0: Not expecting state-ranked BC to slip up here.

Geoff Morrow: Berks Catholic 44, Gettysburg 14: Warriors enter on a bit of a roll (five-game winning streak), but it would take a perfect game to knock off the Saints, who have yielded just 52 points in nine games (one win was a forfeit).

 

Huntingdon 54, Juniata 7, District 6 Class 3A semifinal

Andy Shay: Huntingdon 21, Juniata 7: This will be a stern test for a Juniata defense that has been rock solid all season. Huntingdon is a very balanced team, has played a good schedule and has an elite player at each skill position. Not sure how the Indians keep up.

Jake Adams: Huntingdon 31, Juniata 27: After losses to Huntingdon and Newport, Juniata has ripped off four straight wins. The defense has looked good. But Bearcats QB Andrew Hudy threw for 251 yards and three TDs in a 38-20 win over Junita a few weeks back.

Andy Sandrik: Huntingdon 14, Juniata 10: Tough call here, but I have a gut feeling this will be a low-scoring affair. Yes, I know these teams combined for 97 points last week.

Geoff Morrow: Huntingdon 25, Juniata 13: Bearcats took care of the Indians back in Week 5 in what turned out to be one of their closer games of the season. Not saying Juniata can't reverse fortune in this playoff meeting, but it will take a well-rounded, mistake-free effort.

 

Lampeter-Strasburg 34, Northern Lebanon 19, District 3 Class 4A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Lampeter-Strasburg 33, Northern Lebanon 30: I'm going with the depth of L-L Section II here over the Section III champions. L-S has been in far too many battles not to know exactly what's required to win this game. I'm taking a stab at it being close, but it would not surprise me if L-S cruised in this one, either.

Jake Adams: Northern Lebanon 31, Lampeter-Strasburg 28: So as far as I can go back on MaxPreps, L-S won six straight from 2004-09, and all fairly comfortably. Mainly because I don’t know the football outside MPC very well, I’m gonna stick with the No. 3 seed in this one, but not by much.

Andy Sandrik: Lampeter-Strasburg 24, Northern Lebanon 14: Lancaster Online did a nice story on Cam Niemeyer, who leads L-S in rushing and receiving. NL will need to bottle him up to win.

Geoff Morrow: Lampeter-Strasburg 27, Northern Lebanon 17: Pioneers appear to be a bit more battle-tested than the Vikings, who do carry an eight-game winning streak into the postseason. I picked a moderate score but wouldn't be surprised to see a lot more points.

 

Mount Carmel 42, Line Mountain 6, District 4 Class 2A semifinal

Andy Shay: Line Mountain 21, Mount Carmel 20: Why not Line Mountain? Riding the wave of the No. 7 seed.

Jake Adams: Mount Carmel 28, Line Mountain 14: The only common opponent here is South Williamsport, which these teams faced one week apart. LM lost that one 27-12, while MC won 28-14. The Red Tornadoes' run game, led by John Ayres, has put up 2,700 yards this year. After a three-game lull, Ayres has run for 278 yards the past two games.

Andy Sandrik: Mount Carmel 28, Line Mountain 24: Line Mountain had a nice upset win over Wellsboro last week, but it wasn't as big as Mount Carmel's shocker over South Williamsport. One of these low seeds is going to the district finals, and I think we won't know which team that is until late in the fourth quarter.

Geoff Morrow: Mount Carmel 27, Line Mountain 14: Credit to colleague AShay for pulling the trigger on the Eagles' upset of previously unbeaten Wellsboro last week, but this is a tougher task for Line Mountain. Red Tornadoes aren't unbeatable, but last week's win over a South Williamsport team that had JUST toppled LM is enough for me to pick the home squad.

 

Wyomissing 13, Littlestown 9, at Albright College, District 3 Class 3A semifinal

Andy Shay: Littlestown 14, Wyomissing 10: Points will be hard to come by as these two clubs are mirror images of each other in that ball control is the name of the game on offense, and defense is key to victory. I was impressed with Wyomissing holding Berks Catholic down a bit last week. Taking a flyer here.

Jake Adams: Wyomissing 28, Littlestown 7: Wyo’s defense has been great in recent weeks, having allowed 20 combined points in the five games before a 28-0 loss to powerhouse Berks Catholic.

Andy Sandrik: Wyomissing 21, Littlestown 20: Going with name recognition more than actual concrete facts here. That's "Wyo" I made this pick. ... (Crickets.) ... Sigh. It's been a long season.

Geoff Morrow: Wyomissing 28, Littlestown 14: The Spartans' perfect season was ruined last week by rival Berks Catholic, but this is where the Wyo boys get their shine back. Thunderbolts are solid, though.

 

Wilson 42, Red Lion 7, District 3 Class 6A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Wilson 31, Red Lion 14: All relevant indicators are the Bulldogs have found what they spent the majority of the season looking for and are playing their best football of the season. Lions are coming off a crushing loss to Dallastown a week ago and now have to go on the road to play a team on the rise. Bad combo.

Jake Adams: Wilson 28, Red Lion 17: Iggy Reynoso (1,389 yards, 21 TDs) vs. Zach Throne (more than 1,200 passing yards, 1,500 rushing yards). That sounds like fun. Bulldogs get the job done.

Andy Sandrik: Red Lion 21, Wilson 14: I usually pick against York-Adams teams in the playoffs, but this really seems like a winnable game for Red Lion.

Geoff Morrow: Wilson 28, Red Lion 16: Remember a few weeks ago when there was talk about the Bulldogs maybe not even qualifying for the playoffs? Well, they're in, and they're scary, and the Lions lost two of three to end their campaign.

 

Bishop McDevitt 43, Shippensburg 22, District 3 Class 4A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Bishop McDevitt 49, Shippensburg 13: Just in case McDevitt forgot, and I'm sure they have been reminded, the Greyhounds pulled off a well-earned and stunning upset to reach the championship game a year ago against the Crusaders. Pretty sure McDevitt will be fully engaged for this one. And they are playing very well.

Jake Adams: Bishop McDevitt 35, Shippensburg 7: There will be no last-minute miracle this time. The Crusaders are peaking at the perfect time to reclaim their spot as District 3 champions.

Andy Sandrik: Bishop McDevitt 35, Shippensburg 10: I get the feeling Bishop McDevitt will be coming into this game with PLENTY of motivation.

Geoff Morrow: Bishop McDevitt 58, Shippensburg 7: We know what happened last year, the Greyhounds stunning the Crusaders in the district semis. But McDevitt is cruising, Shippensburg is not, and the revenge aspect has the potential to make this ugly in a hurry.

 

Williams Valley 26, Tri-Valley 6, Pine Grove High School, District 11 Class 1A championship

 Andy Shay: Williams Valley 42, Tri-Valley 7: We all the know the score in the first meeting, and there were some turnovers that helped the Vikings' cause (not that they need much help). Bulldogs are simply up against it in this match-up, and erasing a 43-point loss by taking better care of the ball isn't enough.

Jake Adams: Williams Valley 49, Tri-Valley 7: We saw how this one went down in Week 8 (50-7). The Vikings ran for 286 yards and six touchdowns in the last meeting.

Andy Sandrik: Williams Valley 45, Tri-Valley 27: It's been a quality season for Tri-Valley, but its postseason run comes to an end against Williams Valley, the TVL champion.

Geoff Morrow: Williams Valley 41, Tri-Valley 14: Vikings scorched the Bulldogs with 50 unanswered points in the regular-season meeting just three weeks ago. While we expect TV to show a little more fight this time, WV is primed to collect its second straight district championship trophy.

 

Manheim Central 55, Waynesboro 0, District 3 Class 5A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Manheim Central 45, Waynesboro 7: I'm well aware of the prowess of the Indians' defense. And the Colonial Division champs are comfortable in their own skin. But this will not be a defense that impacts the Barons. This offense has seen better already.

Jake Adams: Manheim Central 49, Waynesboro 14: The Indians were a good story flying under the radar to win the Mid-Penn Colonial. But the Barons, 4DM’s No. 3 team in District 3, are monsters to contain. RB Tyler Flick has 144 carries 1,299 yards and 15 TDs.

Andy Sandrik: Manheim Central 35, Waynesboro 10: I've got a lot of respect for what Josh Sprenkle, an old college buddy, has done with the Waynesboro defense. I'll have even more respect if the Indians' 'D' can keep this game close.

Geoff Morrow: Manheim Central 30, Waynesboro 23: Am I crazy to think the Indians can hang in this game? I realize the Barons are the Barons, are undefeated and seemingly score at will, but the 'Boro Wing-T and big boys up front have been playing very well.

 

Governor Mifflin 56, York 7, District 3 Class 5A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: Governor Mifflin 42, York 14: I have a pause for the cause in regards to the last time the Mustangs have played a meaningful quarter. Schedule was front-loaded and soft on the back end. Might take a quarter or two to get at full speed again, but they will get there. York High at 9-1 is a great story, and keeping this game close into the fourth quarter is key.

Jake Adams: Governor Mifflin 31, York 14: Sorry, fellas, but your seasons either end this week or next.

Andy Sandrik: York 28, Governor Mifflin 21: York had one win last year. ONE. The magical ride will continue, at least for one more game.

Geoff Morrow: Governor Mifflin 30, York 28: Mustangs really haven't been tested in more than a month, and we like the Bearcats' chances better than most bigger schools coming out of York County. Think home field matters in this one.

 
 
Saturday, November 11

Harrisburg 46, Exeter 14, District 3 Class 5A quarterfinal, 1 p.m.

Andy Shay: Harrisburg 56, Exeter Twp. 6: Because this is simply what the Cougars do to pretty much everybody. This has zero to do with Exeter Twp., only that they are "next" for Harrisburg.

Jake Adams: Harrisburg 56, Exeter Twp. 7: Moving on.

Andy Sandrik: Harrisburg 49, Exeter Twp. 10: You don't need a crystal ball to predict how this game is going to go.

Geoff Morrow: Harrisburg 59, Exeter Twp. 7: Eagles have valiantly won five straight, all by 20+ points, but this is a much different arena they're visiting this weekend. The start of the Cougars' second season should be explosive.

 

Steel-High 68, Fairfield 42, Boiling Springs High School, District 3 Class 1A championship

Andy Shay: Steel-High 51, Fairfield 6: Rollers were roughed up last week by Middletown, and that should have them more engaged this week. Steel-High is just too big, too strong and way too fast for Fairfield.

Jake Adams: Steel-High 42, Fairfield 7: The Rollers are so battle-tested this may just seem like a walk in the park. And this is for a District 3 championship.

Andy Sandrik: Steel-High 35, Fairfield 0: Seems like a mismatch from where I'm sitting.

Geoff Morrow: Steel-High 43, Fairfield 12: Still a game the Rollers should dominate, but something doesn't feel quite right with Steel-High right now. Maybe a trophy-chasing performance could smooth things over heading into the PIAA playoffs.

 

Newport 26, York Catholic 7, Boiling Springs High School, District 3 Class 2A quarterfinal

Andy Shay: York Catholic 30, Newport 27: This game was out of control last year when they met. Neither defense could have an impact on the game. Now, neither squad is as loaded offensively so I'm looking for a defense to step up and make some noise. I flipped a coin on this one. Newport's TVL schedule could be a factor.

Jake Adams: York Catholic 45, Newport 21: A rematch of last year’s District 3 Class 2A title game, with both teams carrying nearly identical records into this. Gonna roll with a similar score to last year’s 51-21 YC triumph.

Andy Sandrik: York Catholic 35, Newport 21: It's a completely different season, but I still can't ignore the fact that YC hung 51 points on the Buffs in a 30-point win last season.

Geoff Morrow: York Catholic 47, Newport 30: Six in a row to end the regular season for the defending champion Fighting Irish, who last year ripped the Buffaloes by 30 points in the district title game. The 'Port's defense must be better than it was last year when it allowed 539 rushing yards in this game.

 

 

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